← InsightsResearchEnergyMAR 2026 · 14 MIN

The energy floor: powering 2030's data-center boom

The grid math behind the next wave of compute demand — and where it lands first.

Diego Cárdenas
Energy

The data-center build-out is now the largest single source of new electrical demand in most developed markets. The question is no longer whether the load arrives — it is which utility, which substation, and which interconnect queue gets there first.

What we examined

We modelled queue position, transmission capacity, and capex commitments across multiple regional grids — alongside the willingness of hyperscalers to fund interconnect upgrades themselves.

Three implications

  • The market that wins the next five years of compute is the market that fixes its connection process — not the market with the cheapest power.
  • Bring-your-own-grid is becoming the dominant pattern for the largest sites.
  • Long-duration storage is moving from optional to load-bearing for the queue economics.
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